International mediation in civil wars: bargaining with by Timothy D Sisk

By Timothy D Sisk

This publication evaluates the function of overseas mediators in bringing civil wars to an finish and makes the case for ‘powerful peacemaking’ – utilizing incentives and sanctions – to leverage events into peace. As inner violence inside nations is a highly major chance to overseas peace within the post-Cold battle period, the query of the way those wars finish has develop into an pressing learn and coverage query. This quantity explores a serious point of peacemaking that has but to be sufficiently evaluated: the turbulent period past the onset of formal or open negotiations to finish civil wars and the clinching of an at the start sustainable negotiated payment. The publication argues that the transnational circulate of guns, assets, and ideas implies that while civil wars this present day finish, they're likely to achieve this on the negotiating desk than at the battlefield. It makes use of bargaining thought to increase an analytical framework to guage peace procedures – relocating from stalemate in wars to negotiated payment – and it carefully analyses the stories of 5 circumstances of negotiated transitions from conflict and the function of foreign mediators: South Africa, Liberia, Burundi, Kashmir, and Sri Lanka.  

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Limiting escalation in this fashion is in fact observance of tacit rules of interaction: a certain level of violence can be tolerated, but higher levels of violence won’t further the parties’ aims. This illustrates that even in a hot, violent internal conflict, parties share common interests in containing violence to within levels that are mutually acceptable. Thus, even before negotiations begin parties are pulled between competing impulses of cooperation (however tacit) and confrontation. Escalation theories also help explain why once deadly violence begins it is so difficult to stop.

While in some ways the Iraq intervention is wholly different from UN operations, in other ways – such as managing the constitution-making process, holding elections, controlling violence, and in economic reconstruction – there are undeniable parallels. 47 Given the legitimacy deficit of US efforts to engage in peacemaking in Iraq, it was not surprising when in July 2007 the Bush Administration finally turned to the UN to help bring stability to the war-torn country. Ambassador Zalmay Khalilizad acknowledged that the UN “In the role of mediator .

The prevailing policy-maker consensus today is that negotiated solutions are more desirable, especially from the perspective of the UN, because definitive defeat of an opponent in ethnic conflict may well lead to genocide or ethnic cleans- 30 Untold sorrow ing (forced migration). International intervention through peacemaking (mediation) or peacekeeping (military intervention) may induce more of a balance of power among competing forces, thereby making negotiation more attractive – because the war is really not winnable – and the pursuit of military victory more costly and less likely (Mason et al.

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