Discrete Time Dynamic Economic Models: Theory and Empirical by Brian Ferguson, Guay Lim

By Brian Ferguson, Guay Lim

Fiscal habit is inherently dynamic. whereas issues swap constantly through the years, a lot of monetary research relies on discrete time, similar to a month, region or a yr reflecting the periodic nature of data-collecting and decision-making.

This publication introduces and develops the recommendations of discrete time modelling beginning with first order distinction equation versions and build up to structures of distinction equations, alongside the best way masking such issues as:

* Non-linear distinction equation modles * Random walks and chaotic techniques * Optimisation in discrete time versions

This well-written and straightforward to persist with publication might be essentially of curiosity to top point scholars engaging in financial modelling. the character of the book--bridging a niche among economics and econometric literature--will suggest that also is of curiosity to all lecturers with an curiosity in econometrics and mathematical economics.

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Sample text

The solution procedure is also, in general terms, the same as for first-order equations. 1). Again, we find it by a process of trial and error, starting from the assumption that the functional form of the equilibrium value of Y will be the same as that of the right-hand-side term g, so, as before, if g is a constant we start by trying a constant as the particular solution, Y ∗ . 7) holds. In general, the procedure for finding the particular, or equilibrium solution for a SODE is the same as that for the first, so we shall spend no more time on it.

86) where QD t is quantity demanded in period t, Pt is price in period t and Yt is a demand shift factor, typically income. We have written the demand function with a negative sign in front of α1 , so α1 itself is positive. 87) where QSt is quantity supplied in period t, Pt−1 is price in period t − 1, Zt is a supply shift factor, and β1 is positive. Here quantity supplied today depends on yesterday’s market price. While this can apply to any commodity with a significant lag between the beginning of the production process and the actual supplying of output to the market, the most common examples are from agriculture, where planting decisions are made on the basis of the price obtaining in the market at the time planting needs to be undertaken, but harvest, and the actual supplying of the output to market, occurs quite some time later.

61) is not terribly informative. We can, however, apply some of the results we cited earlier. 60) is (+ − +) which, from Descartes’ rule of signs, tells us that, if our roots are real, both are positive. We actually have an alternative approach to establishing this result: since the product of the roots, vc/(1 − c), is positive, the roots must have the same sign, either both positive or both negative. Also the sum of the roots, vc/(1 − vc), is positive. Since the roots, if real, must have the same sign, and they must sum to a positive value, both roots must be positive.

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